The audit standard behind the report.

VaultTrade Reality Check is built to separate submitted evidence from market storytelling. The process is intentionally research-only, conservative, and explicit about what cannot be concluded.

Scope first

The audit starts by recording what was submitted, what is missing, and which conclusions are out of scope.

Data before performance

Timestamps, sessions, missing fields, duplicate rows, and source provenance are checked before any result is interpreted.

Costs under pressure

Submitted fees, spread, slippage, turnover, and execution timing are stressed so weak expectancy is visible.

Fragility over optimism

The report looks for concentration, regime dependency, top-trade reliance, and rule sensitivity before assigning a verdict.

A strategy does not get a verdict until the evidence survives the gates.

1

Intake scope

Strategy rules, submitted evidence, market, timeframe, and review objective are recorded.

2

Data provenance

Source, export method, sessions, missing fields, timestamps, and duplicates are checked.

3

Assumption register

Execution timing, cost basis, fill assumptions, survivorship limits, and exclusions are documented.

4

Baseline reproduction

Where data supports it, the submitted result is reproduced before stress tests are interpreted.

5

Stress and kill tests

Costs, slippage, sample splits, concentration, and adverse assumptions are applied.

6

Verdict and next proof

The report states what the evidence supports, what it cannot prove, and what to test next.

How verdicts are framed

Verdicts are not trade recommendations. They are evidence labels for the submitted material: reject, park, needs more evidence, or worth further review. A positive verdict only means the evidence deserves more research.

Common reject triggers

  • Unverifiable or contradictory source data
  • Result depends on a small number of trades or sessions
  • Submitted expectancy disappears under realistic cost pressure
  • Out-of-sample behaviour contradicts the in-sample claim
  • Rules cannot be reproduced from the submitted description
  • Any request for signals, execution, copy trading, or advice

VaultTrade Reality Check is research-only. It does not provide financial advice, investment recommendations, trading signals, copy trading, portfolio management, or execution.

Start with a scoped Reality Check.

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